![]() ![]() ![]() There have also been drone attacks in Moscow itself. There have been increased attacks on the Russian side of the border that have killed more than a dozen civilians and displaced thousands from their homes. In addition to potentially reacting to the news of battleground success in Bakhmut, some Russians are now directly feeling the impact of the war. Slight Increase in Support for Continued Fighting Both of these more positive assessments about Russia’s strength and the success of the military operation coincide with the Wagner Group’s ( a private for-hire military organization) major battlefield gains for Russia in the city of Bakhmut in Ukraine’s eastern Donbass region. Underscoring the perception that Russia’s position has improved, 60 percent of Russians say that over the past year, their country has become stronger, while 73 percent say Ukraine has become weaker. The percentage who thinks the military operation has been unsuccessful has dropped slightly from to 27 percent from 31 percent in November, and slightly fewer now indicate that it is “difficult to say.” Six in 10 (61%) Russians say the special military operation (SMO) has been at least somewhat successful, up from 53 percent in November 2022. More Russians Now Sense the Military Operation Has Been SuccessfulĪs Ukraine begins its counteroffensive against Russian military forces, new polling finds greater optimism among the Russian public about their armed forces’ performance. ![]() If they had the opportunity to go back into the past, a plurality of Russians say they would have supported the start of military action against Ukraine (48%), but a sizable minority indicate they would have “cancelled” it before it started (39%).Nearly as many Russians say the special military operation in Ukraine has created more harm (41%) than more benefit (38%). Other results reveal more division among the public.A smaller majority of 66 percent say they would strongly (33%) or somewhat support (33%) a family member or close friend who voluntarily participated in the military operation.Three in four Russians (76%) continue to say they support the military operation, with 43 percent expressing strong support and 33 percent somewhat supporting it. At the same time, support for the Russian military action has neither increased nor decreased.Russians are now evenly divided between those who think Moscow should continue the military operation (48%, up from 38% in April) and those who think it should move to peace negotiations (45%, down from 51% in April).More Russians now believe their country’s military operation in Ukraine has been successful (61%) than did in November (53%).Taken together, the data seem to indicate that the public is much more mixed in their views than it appears at first glance. Remains stable compared to previous surveys, but Russians are sharply divided on whether the conflict has helped or hurt the country. Public support for the military operation ![]() While a majority continue to express support for the war and more now sense the military operation has been successful, the Russian public is divided on whether it has led to more positive or negative consequences.Ī May 25-31, 2023 joint Chicago Council-Levada Center survey-conducted before the destruction of the Kakhovka dam and the start of Kyiv’s counteroffensive-finds that Russians are feeling more positive about their military’s performance in Ukraine than they were in November. ![]()
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